# Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 29?

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 100% implied probability of YES as of Fri, 29 May 2026 18:30:30 GMT. 24h change +4.6pp, 24h volume $256.0K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/bitcoin-above-70k-on-may-29-2026
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-above-70k-on-may-29-2026
**Category:** Crypto
**Resolves by:** May 29, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-29T18:30:30.634Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **100¢** (100%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.4pp |
| Δ 24h | +4.6pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $256.0K |
| Lifetime volume | $306.8K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $54.0K |
| Spread | 0.10pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 29, 2026

**Source:** the market description on Polymarket; final settlement via UMA optimistic oracle.

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
> 
> The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar.
> 
> Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
> 
> Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **momentum** (confidence 76%): Probability moved up 4.6pp in 24h with 4.7× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.
- **resolution_risk** (confidence 40%): Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0xaa9a…3b3e` — 20,363.42 shares
- `0x905a…dff1` — 12,000 shares
- `0x3e3d…d674` — 7,350.83 shares
- `0x71f2…aa4b` — 7,015.95 shares
- `0x239a…a949` — 6,400 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0xd519…932c` — 55,554.924 shares
- `0x345e…6bc7` — 18,919.351 shares
- `0x9b6b…9a8a` — 18,118.646 shares
- `0xe157…51eb` — 13,130.418 shares
- `0x25d8…a71f` — 12,886.302 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 74 |
| Window start | 2026-05-26T16:00:04.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-29T18:00:09.000Z |
| Range | 95¢ → 100¢ |
| Net change | +5.0pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=bitcoin-above-70k-on-may-29-2026` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 29? — 100% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-29T18:30:30.634Z from https://orrery.me/markets/bitcoin-above-70k-on-may-29-2026.
```

---

*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*