# Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 25?

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 98% implied probability of YES as of Mon, 25 May 2026 06:27:20 GMT. 24h change -1.4pp, 24h volume $36.8K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/bitcoin-above-72k-on-may-25-2026
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-above-72k-on-may-25-2026
**Category:** Crypto
**Resolves by:** May 25, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-25T06:27:20.751Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **98¢** (98%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.1pp |
| Δ 24h | -1.4pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $36.8K |
| Lifetime volume | $46.2K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $23.7K |
| Spread | 0.40pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 25, 2026

**Source:** the market description on Polymarket; final settlement via UMA optimistic oracle.

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
> 
> The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar.
> 
> Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
> 
> Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 40%): Expires in 10h.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0xaa9a…3b3e` — 19,421.1 shares
- `0x6e1d…d0fa` — 10,134.416 shares
- `0x66ad…cc4e` — 10,000 shares
- `0xfdbf…260b` — 9,994.575 shares
- `0x3e3d…d674` — 7,149.95 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0xe157…51eb` — 80,410.663 shares
- `0xe9c6…95c9` — 15,313.331 shares
- `0x9b6b…9a8a` — 10,000 shares
- `0x345e…6bc7` — 4,364.652 shares
- `0x7c16…1ec0` — 3,000 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 122 |
| Window start | 2026-05-18T17:00:06.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-23T17:46:04.000Z |
| Range | 89¢ → 99¢ |
| Net change | +8.8pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=bitcoin-above-72k-on-may-25-2026` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 25? — 98% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-25T06:27:20.751Z from https://orrery.me/markets/bitcoin-above-72k-on-may-25-2026.
```

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*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*