# Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 10?

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 100% implied probability of YES as of Sun, 10 May 2026 04:22:35 GMT. 24h change +0.7pp, 24h volume $207.3K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/bitcoin-above-76k-on-may-10
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-above-76k-on-may-10
**Category:** Crypto
**Resolves by:** May 10, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-10T04:22:35.777Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **100¢** (100%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 24h | +0.7pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $207.3K |
| Lifetime volume | $227.3K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $69.4K |
| Spread | 0.10pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 10, 2026

**Source:** the market description on Polymarket; final settlement via UMA optimistic oracle.

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
> 
> The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar.
> 
> Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
> 
> Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 40%): Expires in 12h.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0x7fd7…5861` — 10,070.97 shares
- `0x2322…3ede` — 9,561.076 shares
- `0x6e1d…d0fa` — 8,536.203 shares
- `0x19cd…7a82` — 6,006.006 shares
- `0x7336…1f7b` — 5,690.39 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0xd519…932c` — 55,555.369 shares
- `0x0813…5b41` — 12,999.938 shares
- `0xff4e…5502` — 12,000 shares
- `0xddcc…8edf` — 4,999.91 shares
- `0x5b1f…3086` — 4,328.923 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 157 |
| Window start | 2026-05-03T17:00:09.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-10T04:21:05.000Z |
| Range | 52¢ → 100¢ |
| Net change | +22.4pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=bitcoin-above-76k-on-may-10` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 10? — 100% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-10T04:22:35.777Z from https://orrery.me/markets/bitcoin-above-76k-on-may-10.
```

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*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*