# Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 24?

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 96% implied probability of YES as of Sun, 24 May 2026 17:30:13 GMT. 24h change +85.3pp, 24h volume $132.1K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/bitcoin-above-76k-on-may-24-2026
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-above-76k-on-may-24-2026
**Category:** Crypto
**Resolves by:** May 24, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-24T17:30:13.838Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **96¢** (96%) |
| Δ 1h | +2.3pp |
| Δ 24h | +85.3pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $132.1K |
| Lifetime volume | $182.9K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $28.6K |
| Spread | 0.10pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 24, 2026

**Source:** the market description on Polymarket; final settlement via UMA optimistic oracle.

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
> 
> The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar.
> 
> Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
> 
> Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **momentum** (confidence 95%): Probability moved up 85.3pp in 24h with 4.6× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.
- **resolution_risk** (confidence 40%): Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 161 |
| Window start | 2026-05-17T18:00:07.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-24T09:38:03.000Z |
| Range | 10¢ → 96¢ |
| Net change | +46.4pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=bitcoin-above-76k-on-may-24-2026` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 24? — 96% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-24T17:30:13.838Z from https://orrery.me/markets/bitcoin-above-76k-on-may-24-2026.
```

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*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*