# Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 22?

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 0% implied probability of YES as of Fri, 22 May 2026 17:02:24 GMT. 24h change -4.3pp, 24h volume $290.1K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/bitcoin-above-80k-on-may-22-2026
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-above-80k-on-may-22-2026
**Category:** Crypto
**Resolves by:** May 22, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-22T17:02:24.413Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **0¢** (0%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 24h | -4.3pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $290.1K |
| Lifetime volume | $336.1K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $65.1K |
| Spread | 0.10pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 22, 2026

**Source:** the market description on Polymarket; final settlement via UMA optimistic oracle.

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
> 
> The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar.
> 
> Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
> 
> Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 40%): Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0xc52c…6732` — 21,599.238 shares
- `0xddcd…725f` — 17,499.85 shares
- `0xaa4c…7bfd` — 15,705.517 shares
- `0x9f9e…4c57` — 13,135.086 shares
- `0xafe6…8192` — 13,097.18 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0x4012…a72d` — 19,638.515 shares
- `0xf705…3ca7` — 18,015.15 shares
- `0x239a…a949` — 11,000 shares
- `0x5403…3719` — 10,000 shares
- `0x2322…3ede` — 9,454.05 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 163 |
| Window start | 2026-05-15T18:00:12.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-22T11:44:04.000Z |
| Range | 0¢ → 47¢ |
| Net change | -46.4pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=bitcoin-above-80k-on-may-22-2026` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 22? — 0% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-22T17:02:24.413Z from https://orrery.me/markets/bitcoin-above-80k-on-may-22-2026.
```

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*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*