# Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 10?

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 1% implied probability of YES as of Sun, 10 May 2026 10:02:27 GMT. 24h change -2.1pp, 24h volume $155.4K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/bitcoin-above-82k-on-may-10
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-above-82k-on-may-10
**Category:** Crypto
**Resolves by:** May 10, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-10T10:02:27.947Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **1¢** (1%) |
| Δ 1h | -1.1pp |
| Δ 24h | -2.1pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $155.4K |
| Lifetime volume | $185.4K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $29.3K |
| Spread | 0.20pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 10, 2026

**Source:** the market description on Polymarket; final settlement via UMA optimistic oracle.

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
> 
> The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar.
> 
> Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
> 
> Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 40%): Expires in 6h.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0x3885…ca77` — 9,880.173 shares
- `0xe88a…94c5` — 5,298.083 shares
- `0x0fe4…01b7` — 5,079.317 shares
- `0x29ea…701e` — 4,516.167 shares
- `0x54bc…aa3d` — 4,056.977 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0x4699…e03c` — 8,766 shares
- `0x6e1d…d0fa` — 8,131.857 shares
- `0x3690…e16f` — 5,757.675 shares
- `0x071e…a103` — 4,999.979 shares
- `0x8970…36b5` — 4,303.93 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 163 |
| Window start | 2026-05-03T17:00:06.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-10T10:00:08.000Z |
| Range | 1¢ → 56¢ |
| Net change | -18.2pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=bitcoin-above-82k-on-may-10` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 10? — 1% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-10T10:02:27.947Z from https://orrery.me/markets/bitcoin-above-82k-on-may-10.
```

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*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*