# Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 16?

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 0% implied probability of YES as of Sat, 16 May 2026 08:54:47 GMT. 24h change -16.4pp, 24h volume $200.1K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/bitcoin-above-82k-on-may-16
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-above-82k-on-may-16
**Category:** Crypto
**Resolves by:** May 16, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-16T08:54:47.290Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **0¢** (0%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 24h | -16.4pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $200.1K |
| Lifetime volume | $218.8K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $69.8K |
| Spread | 0.10pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 16, 2026

**Source:** the market description on Polymarket; final settlement via UMA optimistic oracle.

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
> 
> The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar.
> 
> Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
> 
> Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 40%): Expires in 7h.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0xddcd…725f` — 10,000.003 shares
- `0x29ea…701e` — 7,963.467 shares
- `0x085c…b057` — 6,762.558 shares
- `0x27e1…8fd2` — 6,099.98 shares
- `0x970d…0545` — 5,543.449 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0xe626…6771` — 15,015.015 shares
- `0x6e1d…d0fa` — 9,422.872 shares
- `0x0fe4…01b7` — 7,601.322 shares
- `0xf5dd…a04e` — 7,007.007 shares
- `0x19fc…b4e3` — 6,000.314 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 160 |
| Window start | 2026-05-09T17:00:07.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-16T08:54:04.000Z |
| Range | 0¢ → 54¢ |
| Net change | -50.0pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=bitcoin-above-82k-on-may-16` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 16? — 0% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-16T08:54:47.290Z from https://orrery.me/markets/bitcoin-above-82k-on-may-16.
```

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*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*