# 1. FC Köln vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846: O/U 3.5

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 48% implied probability of YES as of Sun, 10 May 2026 09:18:08 GMT. 24h change +3.0pp, 24h volume $142.2K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/bun-koe-hei-2026-05-10-total-3pt5
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/bun-koe-hei-2026-05-10-total-3pt5
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 10, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-10T09:18:08.201Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **48¢** (48%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 24h | +3.0pp |
| Δ 1w | +7.5pp |
| 24h volume | $142.2K |
| Lifetime volume | $142.4K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $182.5K |
| Spread | 1.00pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 10, 2026

**Source:** https://www.bundesliga.com/en/bundesliga

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> In the upcoming Bundesliga game between 1. FC Köln and 1. FC Heidenheim 1846, scheduled for May 10 at 11:30 AM ET:
> 
> This market will resolve to "Over" if 1. FC Köln and 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 combine to score 4 or more goals in this game.
> 
> If the combined total is less than 4, this market will resolve to "Under".
> 
> If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50.
> 
> If the game is started but not completed, this market will resolve according to the official final score published on bundesliga.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
> 
> The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 40%): Expires in 6h.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0x3fd9…1ef0` — 126,246.699 shares
- `0xa697…59d5` — 1,372.007 shares
- `0x86da…401c` — 24 shares
- `0xe8de…a2b8` — 12 shares
- `0xe62b…fc71` — 10.42 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0x204f…5e14` — 28,657.945 shares
- `0x2005…75ea` — 7,000.22 shares
- `0xca89…7bc4` — 6,400 shares
- `0x0d13…92f3` — 6,171.698 shares
- `0xb177…1914` — 6,144.849 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 169 |
| Window start | 2026-05-03T10:00:07.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-10T09:17:04.000Z |
| Range | 40¢ → 48¢ |
| Net change | +7.5pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=bun-koe-hei-2026-05-10-total-3pt5` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "1. FC Köln vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846: O/U 3.5 — 48% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-10T09:18:08.201Z from https://orrery.me/markets/bun-koe-hei-2026-05-10-total-3pt5.
```

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