# Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Punjab Kings

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 77% implied probability of YES as of Sun, 03 May 2026 16:24:36 GMT. 24h change +34.0pp, 24h volume $933.1K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/cricipl-guj-pun-2026-05-03
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/cricipl-guj-pun-2026-05-03
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 10, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-03T16:24:36.907Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **77¢** (77%) |
| Δ 1h | +4.0pp |
| Δ 24h | +34.0pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $933.1K |
| Lifetime volume | $941.1K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $58.1K |
| Spread | 1.00pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 10, 2026

**Source:** https://www.espncricinfo.com/

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market refers to the cricket match between Gujarat Titans and Punjab Kings scheduled for May 3 2026 in Indian Premier League.
> 
> This market resolves according to the finalized match result as published by https://www.espncricinfo.com/.  
> 
> DLS/DRS, over-rate penalties, forfeit/walkover, or any other on-field ruling that leads the competition to declare a winner are treated as ordinary wins.
> 
> If the match ends tied and the playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over), the winner determined by that tiebreak will be used for resolution. If the match ends tied and no on-field tiebreak is used or available under the playing conditions (e.g., group-stage ODI with no Super Over), the market will resolve 50-50.
> 
> If the match is postponed/rescheduled, the market remains open until the listed fixture is completed. If the match is permanently canceled or abandoned or otherwise is completed without a winner, the market resolves 50-50.
> 
> The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
> 

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **momentum** (confidence 95%): Probability moved up 34.0pp in 24h with 16.1× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0x2aee…b327` — 40,272.975 shares
- `0x9a8c…ba13` — 24,857.899 shares
- `0x6d30…ce29` — 20,421.909 shares
- `0x0389…847b` — 18,871.184 shares
- `0xa38a…821d` — 18,364.664 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0x5bb3…2c62` — 45,735.834 shares
- `0x198f…c419` — 37,377.665 shares
- `0xd218…b5c9` — 24,809.01 shares
- `0x5b6e…f544` — 23,055.489 shares
- `0x6e02…d70a` — 20,746.9 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 158 |
| Window start | 2026-04-27T03:00:10.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-03T16:23:05.000Z |
| Range | 36¢ → 88¢ |
| Net change | +27.5pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=cricipl-guj-pun-2026-05-03` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Punjab Kings — 77% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-03T16:24:36.907Z from https://orrery.me/markets/cricipl-guj-pun-2026-05-03.
```

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