# Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Lucknow Super Giants

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 60% implied probability of YES as of Mon, 04 May 2026 17:14:40 GMT. 24h change +1.5pp, 24h volume $12.2K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/cricipl-mum-luc-2026-05-04
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/cricipl-mum-luc-2026-05-04
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 11, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-04T17:14:40.970Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **60¢** (60%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 24h | +1.5pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $12.2K |
| Lifetime volume | $13.2K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $16.8K |
| Spread | 1.00pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 11, 2026

**Source:** https://www.espncricinfo.com/

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market refers to the cricket match between Mumbai Indians and Lucknow Super Giants scheduled for May 4 2026 in Indian Premier League.
> 
> This market resolves according to the finalized match result as published by https://www.espncricinfo.com/.  
> 
> DLS/DRS, over-rate penalties, forfeit/walkover, or any other on-field ruling that leads the competition to declare a winner are treated as ordinary wins.
> 
> If the match ends tied and the playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over), the winner determined by that tiebreak will be used for resolution. If the match ends tied and no on-field tiebreak is used or available under the playing conditions (e.g., group-stage ODI with no Super Over), the market will resolve 50-50.
> 
> If the match is postponed/rescheduled, the market remains open until the listed fixture is completed. If the match is permanently canceled or abandoned or otherwise is completed without a winner, the market resolves 50-50.
> 
> The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
> 

## Recent large trades on this market

| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | USD |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5m ago | `Prize-Firewall` | BUY | LUCKNOW SUPER GIANTS | $1.60 |

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0x1df2…89a0` — 33,589.126 shares
- `0xd218…b5c9` — 32,022.024 shares
- `0x2aee…b327` — 25,310.62 shares
- `0xe3d4…2bac` — 18,798.6 shares
- `0xa2c9…2c23` — 16,306.34 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0x6e02…d70a` — 66,628.508 shares
- `0xa38a…821d` — 49,170.058 shares
- `0x507e…beae` — 31,347.939 shares
- `0x6d30…ce29` — 25,441.687 shares
- `0x0389…847b` — 25,353.6 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 50 |
| Window start | 2026-05-02T17:00:08.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-04T17:14:07.000Z |
| Range | 31¢ → 98¢ |
| Net change | +43.7pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=cricipl-mum-luc-2026-05-04` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Lucknow Super Giants — 60% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-04T17:14:40.970Z from https://orrery.me/markets/cricipl-mum-luc-2026-05-04.
```

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