# Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Liquid - Map 1 Winner

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 0% implied probability of YES as of Thu, 21 May 2026 04:43:01 GMT. 24h change +0.0pp, 24h volume $433.0K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/cs2-3dmax-tl1-2026-05-20-game1
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/cs2-3dmax-tl1-2026-05-20-game1
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 21, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-21T04:43:01.628Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **0¢** (0%) |
| Δ 1h | -62.0pp |
| Δ 24h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $433.0K |
| Lifetime volume | $433.0K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $661.3K |
| Spread | 0.10pp |
| UMA status | `proposed` |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 21, 2026

**Source:** https://hltv.org

**UMA status:** `proposed` — verify before treating moves as new information.

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market refers to the Counter-Strike Lower bracket quarterfinal 2 match between 3DMAX and Liquid in the CS Asia Championships Group B, initially scheduled for May 20 at 11:00PM ET.
> 
> This market will resolve to "3DMAX" if 3DMAX win Map 1 against Liquid.
> 
> This market will resolve to "Liquid" if Liquid win Map 1 against 3DMAX.
> 
> If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 1. 
> 
> If Map 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. 
> 
> If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. 
> 
> The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 65%): Expires in 4h. UMA dispute is active.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0x82a5…674e` — 33,574.563 shares
- `0x56c9…0d9e` — 12,693.88 shares
- `0x67bb…b6ef` — 8,954.233 shares
- `0xec98…afcd` — 7,745.738 shares
- `0x2d39…6053` — 7,400.206 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0x3b4c…e850` — 19,777.95 shares
- `0x5e6e…be00` — 14,999.833 shares
- `0x2005…75ea` — 12,678.464 shares
- `0x1136…0c2e` — 9,999.935 shares
- `0x6fc4…c89d` — 8,249 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 25 |
| Window start | 2026-05-20T05:00:10.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-21T04:29:05.000Z |
| Range | 0¢ → 57¢ |
| Net change | -50.0pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=cs2-3dmax-tl1-2026-05-20-game1` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Liquid - Map 1 Winner — 0% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-21T04:43:01.628Z from https://orrery.me/markets/cs2-3dmax-tl1-2026-05-20-game1.
```

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