# Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Liquid - Map 2 Winner

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 55% implied probability of YES as of Thu, 21 May 2026 05:11:13 GMT. 24h change +0.0pp, 24h volume $44.64.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/cs2-3dmax-tl1-2026-05-20-game2
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/cs2-3dmax-tl1-2026-05-20-game2
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 21, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-21T05:11:13.488Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **55¢** (55%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 24h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $44.64 |
| Lifetime volume | $44.64 |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $5.4K |
| Spread | 2.00pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 21, 2026

**Source:** https://hltv.org

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market refers to the Counter-Strike Lower bracket quarterfinal 2 match between 3DMAX and Liquid in the CS Asia Championships Group B, initially scheduled for May 20 at 11:00PM ET.
> 
> This market will resolve to "3DMAX" if 3DMAX win Map 2 against Liquid.
> 
> This market will resolve to "Liquid" if Liquid win Map 2 against 3DMAX.
> 
> If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2. 
> 
> If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. 
> 
> If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. 
> 
> The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 40%): Expires in 4h.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0x8fbb…9a17` — 25,577.045 shares
- `0x67bb…b6ef` — 15,000 shares
- `0x56c9…0d9e` — 11,135.596 shares
- `0x8f69…7df1` — 10,052.832 shares
- `0xbf3d…aac0` — 6,557.923 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0x9d94…017d` — 16,354.699 shares
- `0x21ec…5348` — 16,108.596 shares
- `0xf070…ac55` — 14,443.951 shares
- `0x3da8…80c3` — 9,832.392 shares
- `0x98e5…f069` — 8,150.319 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 12 |
| Window start | 2026-05-20T05:00:10.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-20T15:33:07.000Z |
| Range | 50¢ → 62¢ |
| Net change | +5.0pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=cs2-3dmax-tl1-2026-05-20-game2` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Liquid - Map 2 Winner — 55% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-21T05:11:13.488Z from https://orrery.me/markets/cs2-3dmax-tl1-2026-05-20-game2.
```

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*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*