# Counter-Strike: B8 vs BC.Game Esports - Map 2 Winner

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 100% implied probability of YES as of Tue, 12 May 2026 19:02:20 GMT. 24h change +0.0pp, 24h volume $411.3K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/cs2-b8-bcg-2026-05-12-game2
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/cs2-b8-bcg-2026-05-12-game2
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 12, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-12T19:02:20.663Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **100¢** (100%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 24h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $411.3K |
| Lifetime volume | $411.3K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $194.4K |
| Spread | 0.10pp |
| UMA status | `proposed` |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 12, 2026

**Source:** https://hltv.org

**UMA status:** `proposed` — verify before treating moves as new information.

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market refers to the Counter-Strike Lower bracket quarterfinal 1 match between B8 and BC.Game Esports in the IEM Atlanta Group A, initially scheduled for May 12 at 11:30AM ET.
> 
> This market will resolve to "B8" if B8 win Map 2 against BC.Game Esports.
> 
> This market will resolve to "BC.Game Esports" if BC.Game Esports win Map 2 against B8.
> 
> If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2. 
> 
> If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. 
> 
> If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. 
> 
> The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 65%): Expires in 0h. UMA dispute is active.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0xa5ea…d96a` — 118,813.97 shares
- `0xb489…de6b` — 40,040.04 shares
- `0xcf60…a6f5` — 19,999.997 shares
- `0x56c9…0d9e` — 17,916.277 shares
- `0xa16a…33a1` — 16,078.68 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0x30c7…ac3b` — 20,000 shares
- `0x69d5…7767` — 19,999.48 shares
- `0x4713…4d21` — 15,289 shares
- `0x84ad…bfb7` — 14,742.406 shares
- `0x82dc…5700` — 12,270.18 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 23 |
| Window start | 2026-05-11T22:00:07.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-12T19:02:04.000Z |
| Range | 51¢ → 100¢ |
| Net change | +43.0pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=cs2-b8-bcg-2026-05-12-game2` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Counter-Strike: B8 vs BC.Game Esports - Map 2 Winner — 100% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-12T19:02:20.663Z from https://orrery.me/markets/cs2-b8-bcg-2026-05-12-game2.
```

---

*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*