# Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs paiN - Map 1 Winner

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 0% implied probability of YES as of Thu, 21 May 2026 09:05:14 GMT. 24h change +0.0pp, 24h volume $264.8K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/cs2-bcg-pain-2026-05-21-game1
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/cs2-bcg-pain-2026-05-21-game1
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 21, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-21T09:05:14.425Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **0¢** (0%) |
| Δ 1h | -21.4pp |
| Δ 24h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $264.8K |
| Lifetime volume | $264.8K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $573.8K |
| Spread | 0.10pp |
| UMA status | `proposed` |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 21, 2026

**Source:** https://hltv.org

**UMA status:** `proposed` — verify before treating moves as new information.

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market refers to the Counter-Strike Lower bracket quarterfinal 1 match between BC.Game Esports and paiN in the CS Asia Championships Group A, initially scheduled for May 21 at 2:00AM ET.
> 
> This market will resolve to "BC.Game Esports" if BC.Game Esports win Map 1 against paiN.
> 
> This market will resolve to "paiN" if paiN win Map 1 against BC.Game Esports.
> 
> If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 1. 
> 
> If Map 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. 
> 
> If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. 
> 
> The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 65%): Expires in 4h. UMA dispute is active.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0x2005…75ea` — 21,461.115 shares
- `0xed44…4f76` — 13,583.96 shares
- `0xf070…ac55` — 11,111 shares
- `0x82dc…5700` — 9,207.74 shares
- `0x72aa…90e0` — 7,999.999 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0xa995…1be0` — 21,563 shares
- `0x56c9…0d9e` — 17,442.409 shares
- `0x1341…0853` — 12,085.229 shares
- `0x9770…0ff5` — 8,049.99 shares
- `0x996a…e3cc` — 8,000 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 25 |
| Window start | 2026-05-20T09:00:06.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-21T08:24:05.000Z |
| Range | 0¢ → 47¢ |
| Net change | -42.4pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=cs2-bcg-pain-2026-05-21-game1` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs paiN - Map 1 Winner — 0% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-21T09:05:14.425Z from https://orrery.me/markets/cs2-bcg-pain-2026-05-21-game1.
```

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