# Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 68% implied probability of YES as of Sun, 24 May 2026 08:52:45 GMT. 24h change +0.0pp, 24h volume $3.8K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/cs2-fal2-lgc-2026-05-24-game2
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/cs2-fal2-lgc-2026-05-24-game2
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 24, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-24T08:52:45.305Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **68¢** (68%) |
| Δ 1h | +1.0pp |
| Δ 24h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $3.8K |
| Lifetime volume | $3.8K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $13.8K |
| Spread | 2.00pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 24, 2026

**Source:** https://hltv.org

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market refers to the Counter-Strike Grand final match between Team Falcons and Legacy in the CS Asia Championships Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 24 at 2:00AM ET.
> 
> This market will resolve to "Team Falcons" if Team Falcons win Map 2 against Legacy.
> 
> This market will resolve to "Legacy" if Legacy win Map 2 against Team Falcons.
> 
> If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2. 
> 
> If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. 
> 
> If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. 
> 
> The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 40%): Expires in 1h.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0x2005…75ea` — 31,389.283 shares
- `0x67bb…b6ef` — 18,036.53 shares
- `0x72aa…90e0` — 16,000.006 shares
- `0x372f…182a` — 14,929.503 shares
- `0x86e9…4cdf` — 11,249.989 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0x2eaa…7d1a` — 74,306.97 shares
- `0xfe78…0319` — 19,380.481 shares
- `0x1341…0853` — 13,116.996 shares
- `0xbf1d…e9d1` — 12,200 shares
- `0x9770…0ff5` — 11,100 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 17 |
| Window start | 2026-05-23T13:00:05.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-24T04:58:04.000Z |
| Range | 65¢ → 68¢ |
| Net change | +3.0pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=cs2-fal2-lgc-2026-05-24-game2` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner — 68% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-24T08:52:45.305Z from https://orrery.me/markets/cs2-fal2-lgc-2026-05-24-game2.
```

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*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*