# Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Legacy - Map 4 Winner

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 0% implied probability of YES as of Sun, 24 May 2026 12:28:18 GMT. 24h change -66.0pp, 24h volume $510.1K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/cs2-fal2-lgc-2026-05-24-game4
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/cs2-fal2-lgc-2026-05-24-game4
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 24, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-24T12:28:18.943Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **0¢** (0%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 24h | -66.0pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $510.1K |
| Lifetime volume | $510.1K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $327.0K |
| Spread | 0.10pp |
| UMA status | `proposed` |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 24, 2026

**Source:** https://hltv.org

**UMA status:** `proposed` — verify before treating moves as new information.

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market refers to the Counter-Strike Grand final match between Team Falcons and Legacy in the CS Asia Championships Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 24 at 2:00AM ET.
> 
> This market will resolve to "Team Falcons" if Team Falcons win Map 4 against Legacy.
> 
> This market will resolve to "Legacy" if Legacy win Map 4 against Team Falcons.
> 
> If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 4 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 4. 
> 
> If Map 4 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. 
> 
> If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. 
> 
> The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 65%): Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0xee21…6f5f` — 20,783.002 shares
- `0xee00…cea1` — 19,581.422 shares
- `0x2307…3934` — 11,892.639 shares
- `0x6df6…8458` — 8,888 shares
- `0xcf60…a6f5` — 7,499.986 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0x7ecc…6c37` — 44,813.4 shares
- `0x67bb…b6ef` — 34,187.714 shares
- `0xd703…71bf` — 29,300 shares
- `0x14f1…4a46` — 17,933 shares
- `0x3bae…885a` — 16,000 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 25 |
| Window start | 2026-05-23T13:00:06.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-24T12:28:05.000Z |
| Range | 0¢ → 70¢ |
| Net change | -66.5pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=cs2-fal2-lgc-2026-05-24-game4` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Legacy - Map 4 Winner — 0% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-24T12:28:18.943Z from https://orrery.me/markets/cs2-fal2-lgc-2026-05-24-game4.
```

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