# Counter-Strike: Lynn Vision vs NIP - Map 1 Winner

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 100% implied probability of YES as of Thu, 21 May 2026 08:24:26 GMT. 24h change +56.5pp, 24h volume $253.1K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/cs2-lvg-nip-2026-05-21-game1
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/cs2-lvg-nip-2026-05-21-game1
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 21, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-21T08:24:26.915Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **100¢** (100%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 24h | +56.5pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $253.1K |
| Lifetime volume | $253.1K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $689.8K |
| Spread | 0.10pp |
| UMA status | `proposed` |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 21, 2026

**Source:** https://hltv.org

**UMA status:** `proposed` — verify before treating moves as new information.

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market refers to the Counter-Strike Lower bracket quarterfinal 1 match between Lynn Vision and NIP in the CS Asia Championships Group B, initially scheduled for May 21 at 2:00AM ET.
> 
> This market will resolve to "Lynn Vision" if Lynn Vision win Map 1 against NIP.
> 
> This market will resolve to "NIP" if NIP win Map 1 against Lynn Vision.
> 
> If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 1. 
> 
> If Map 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. 
> 
> If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. 
> 
> The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 65%): Expires in 4h. UMA dispute is active.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0x56c9…0d9e` — 21,507.607 shares
- `0x3b4c…e850` — 12,917.97 shares
- `0x6fc4…c89d` — 6,953 shares
- `0x0997…c9f6` — 6,791 shares
- `0x9ad6…4251` — 6,431 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0x1341…0853` — 13,848.86 shares
- `0xa1e4…4f8a` — 6,648.602 shares
- `0x2005…75ea` — 6,104.488 shares
- `0xb2a6…2d2d` — 5,191.484 shares
- `0x72aa…90e0` — 5,039.492 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 28 |
| Window start | 2026-05-20T06:00:12.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-21T08:24:05.000Z |
| Range | 39¢ → 100¢ |
| Net change | +55.0pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=cs2-lvg-nip-2026-05-21-game1` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Counter-Strike: Lynn Vision vs NIP - Map 1 Winner — 100% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-21T08:24:26.915Z from https://orrery.me/markets/cs2-lvg-nip-2026-05-21-game1.
```

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*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*