# Counter-Strike: Lynn Vision vs NIP - Map 2 Winner

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 34% implied probability of YES as of Thu, 21 May 2026 09:24:05 GMT. 24h change -2.5pp, 24h volume $5.0K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/cs2-lvg-nip-2026-05-21-game2
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/cs2-lvg-nip-2026-05-21-game2
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 21, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-21T09:24:05.720Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **34¢** (34%) |
| Δ 1h | +1.0pp |
| Δ 24h | -2.5pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $5.0K |
| Lifetime volume | $5.0K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $32.1K |
| Spread | 1.00pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 21, 2026

**Source:** https://hltv.org

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market refers to the Counter-Strike Lower bracket quarterfinal 1 match between Lynn Vision and NIP in the CS Asia Championships Group B, initially scheduled for May 21 at 2:00AM ET.
> 
> This market will resolve to "Lynn Vision" if Lynn Vision win Map 2 against NIP.
> 
> This market will resolve to "NIP" if NIP win Map 2 against Lynn Vision.
> 
> If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2. 
> 
> If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. 
> 
> If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. 
> 
> The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 40%): Expires in 3h.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0xf070…ac55` — 18,285.396 shares
- `0x1588…eed3` — 8,856.358 shares
- `0x2005…75ea` — 6,579.29 shares
- `0x60d0…e05f` — 5,799.995 shares
- `0x72aa…90e0` — 4,516.693 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0x86e9…4cdf` — 34,073.635 shares
- `0x0dcf…c556` — 15,156.132 shares
- `0x996a…e3cc` — 8,000 shares
- `0x13f0…a50f` — 6,800 shares
- `0x0997…c9f6` — 6,027.93 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 27 |
| Window start | 2026-05-20T06:00:05.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-21T07:06:05.000Z |
| Range | 33¢ → 38¢ |
| Net change | -4.5pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=cs2-lvg-nip-2026-05-21-game2` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Counter-Strike: Lynn Vision vs NIP - Map 2 Winner — 34% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-21T09:24:05.720Z from https://orrery.me/markets/cs2-lvg-nip-2026-05-21-game2.
```

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*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*