# Map Handicap: DRIP (-1.5) vs m1x (+1.5)

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 0% implied probability of YES as of Thu, 07 May 2026 12:02:30 GMT. 24h change -49.1pp, 24h volume $176.4K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/cs2-m1x-drip-2026-05-06-map-handicap-home-1pt5
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/cs2-m1x-drip-2026-05-06-map-handicap-home-1pt5
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 6, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-07T12:02:30.935Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **0¢** (0%) |
| Δ 1h | -0.1pp |
| Δ 24h | -49.1pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $176.4K |
| Lifetime volume | $176.4K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $23.6K |
| Spread | 0.70pp |
| UMA status | `disputed` |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 6, 2026

**Source:** https://hltv.org

**UMA status:** `disputed` — verify before treating moves as new information.

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market refers to the Counter-Strike Lower bracket round 2 match between m1x and Dripmen in the CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 6 at 9:45AM ET.
> 
> This market will resolve to "Dripmen" if Dripmen wins 2 or more maps than m1x in this match.
> 
> Otherwise, this market will resolve to "m1x". 
> 
> Maps won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed.
> 
> If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. 
> 
> If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. 
> 
> If the match ends due to the clinching map being forfeited this will count as a completed match.
> 
> The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 65%): Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0xcd0d…7ec8` — 12,420.179 shares
- `0x6ec6…698b` — 7,100.5 shares
- `0xc0f1…8680` — 6,800 shares
- `0x5c53…8c30` — 5,000 shares
- `0x9114…3568` — 4,955 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0x7804…7025` — 31,224.84 shares
- `0x73e3…3239` — 4,915 shares
- `0x9e80…f694` — 3,000 shares
- `0xf0d5…c665` — 1,367.968 shares
- `0x76c5…fe58` — 300 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 38 |
| Window start | 2026-05-06T00:00:11.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-07T12:01:04.000Z |
| Range | 0¢ → 50¢ |
| Net change | -49.6pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=cs2-m1x-drip-2026-05-06-map-handicap-home-1pt5` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Map Handicap: DRIP (-1.5) vs m1x (+1.5) — 0% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-07T12:02:30.935Z from https://orrery.me/markets/cs2-m1x-drip-2026-05-06-map-handicap-home-1pt5.
```

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