# Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs magic - Map 2 Winner

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 0% implied probability of YES as of Wed, 13 May 2026 07:42:06 GMT. 24h change +0.0pp, 24h volume $265.5K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/cs2-m8-mgc-2026-05-13-game2
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/cs2-m8-mgc-2026-05-13-game2
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 13, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-13T07:42:06.931Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **0¢** (0%) |
| Δ 1h | -78.5pp |
| Δ 24h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $265.5K |
| Lifetime volume | $265.5K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $563.6K |
| Spread | 0.10pp |
| UMA status | `proposed` |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 13, 2026

**Source:** https://hltv.org

**UMA status:** `proposed` — verify before treating moves as new information.

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 5 match between Gentle Mates and magic in the PGL Astana Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 13 at 1:00AM ET.
> 
> This market will resolve to "Gentle Mates" if Gentle Mates win Map 2 against magic.
> 
> This market will resolve to "magic" if magic win Map 2 against Gentle Mates.
> 
> If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2. 
> 
> If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. 
> 
> If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. 
> 
> The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 65%): Expires in 1h. UMA dispute is active.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0x56c9…0d9e` — 21,998.064 shares
- `0xcf60…a6f5` — 19,999.955 shares
- `0x598e…7336` — 13,196.576 shares
- `0x72aa…90e0` — 5,742.607 shares
- `0xa1e4…4f8a` — 4,112.872 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0x3b4c…e850` — 25,195.99 shares
- `0x8fbb…9a17` — 11,638.35 shares
- `0xfdc0…4b85` — 10,669.372 shares
- `0x25ac…3e47` — 7,577.343 shares
- `0xf3ef…ca6b` — 5,999.449 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 17 |
| Window start | 2026-05-12T16:00:05.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-13T07:41:04.000Z |
| Range | 0¢ → 71¢ |
| Net change | -55.0pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=cs2-m8-mgc-2026-05-13-game2` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs magic - Map 2 Winner — 0% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-13T07:42:06.931Z from https://orrery.me/markets/cs2-m8-mgc-2026-05-13-game2.
```

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*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*