# Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs G2 - Map 2 Winner

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 100% implied probability of YES as of Mon, 11 May 2026 11:28:43 GMT. 24h change +0.0pp, 24h volume $367.9K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/cs2-mglz-g2-2026-05-11-game2
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/cs2-mglz-g2-2026-05-11-game2
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 11, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-11T11:28:43.648Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **100¢** (100%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 24h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $367.9K |
| Lifetime volume | $367.9K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $590.7K |
| Spread | 0.10pp |
| UMA status | `proposed` |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 11, 2026

**Source:** https://hltv.org

**UMA status:** `proposed` — verify before treating moves as new information.

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 3 match between TheMongolz and G2 in the PGL Astana Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 11 at 4:00AM ET.
> 
> This market will resolve to "TheMongolz" if TheMongolz win Map 2 against G2.
> 
> This market will resolve to "G2" if G2 win Map 2 against TheMongolz.
> 
> If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2. 
> 
> If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. 
> 
> If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. 
> 
> The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 65%): Expires in 1h. UMA dispute is active.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0x3b4c…e850` — 18,898.51 shares
- `0x598e…7336` — 18,699.06 shares
- `0xc6dd…40ce` — 11,256.512 shares
- `0x0997…c9f6` — 7,745 shares
- `0x13f0…a50f` — 7,055 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0x8c0b…7aa5` — 18,649.949 shares
- `0xf4ec…c574` — 15,025.076 shares
- `0xfa88…85a5` — 7,566.396 shares
- `0x55d9…832c` — 4,999.984 shares
- `0x19b6…ad8e` — 3,976.966 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 19 |
| Window start | 2026-05-10T18:00:28.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-11T11:28:06.000Z |
| Range | 46¢ → 100¢ |
| Net change | +48.0pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=cs2-mglz-g2-2026-05-11-game2` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs G2 - Map 2 Winner — 100% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-11T11:28:43.648Z from https://orrery.me/markets/cs2-mglz-g2-2026-05-11-game2.
```

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*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*