# Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 0% implied probability of YES as of Sun, 10 May 2026 13:03:40 GMT. 24h change +0.0pp, 24h volume $458.8K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/cs2-mglz-ts7-2026-05-10-game2
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/cs2-mglz-ts7-2026-05-10-game2
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 10, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-10T13:03:40.022Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **0¢** (0%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 24h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $458.8K |
| Lifetime volume | $458.8K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $419.9K |
| Spread | 0.10pp |
| UMA status | `proposed` |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 10, 2026

**Source:** https://hltv.org

**UMA status:** `proposed` — verify before treating moves as new information.

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 2 match between TheMongolz and Spirit in the PGL Astana Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 10 at 4:00AM ET.
> 
> This market will resolve to "TheMongolz" if TheMongolz win Map 2 against Spirit.
> 
> This market will resolve to "Spirit" if Spirit win Map 2 against TheMongolz.
> 
> If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2. 
> 
> If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. 
> 
> If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. 
> 
> The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 65%): Expires in 2h. UMA dispute is active.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0x1626…9e8d` — 26,190 shares
- `0x67bb…b6ef` — 22,623.855 shares
- `0xf070…ac55` — 9,998.979 shares
- `0xd8b4…b220` — 9,004.998 shares
- `0x7d4d…8525` — 7,386.889 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0xa16a…33a1` — 48,738.24 shares
- `0x3af1…d739` — 23,927.89 shares
- `0x0997…c9f6` — 7,661 shares
- `0x55d9…832c` — 7,127.418 shares
- `0x6fc4…c89d` — 7,087 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 21 |
| Window start | 2026-05-09T18:00:07.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-10T13:03:07.000Z |
| Range | 0¢ → 54¢ |
| Net change | -54.0pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=cs2-mglz-ts7-2026-05-10-game2` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner — 0% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-10T13:03:40.022Z from https://orrery.me/markets/cs2-mglz-ts7-2026-05-10-game2.
```

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*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*