# Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 42% implied probability of YES as of Sat, 23 May 2026 13:37:50 GMT. 24h change +0.0pp, 24h volume $3.2K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/cs2-mibr-lgc-2026-05-23-game2
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/cs2-mibr-lgc-2026-05-23-game2
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 23, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-23T13:37:50.181Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **42¢** (42%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 24h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $3.2K |
| Lifetime volume | $3.2K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $13.8K |
| Spread | 2.00pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 23, 2026

**Source:** https://hltv.org

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market refers to the Counter-Strike Semifinal 2 match between MIBR and Legacy in the CS Asia Championships Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 23 at 4:00AM ET.
> 
> This market will resolve to "MIBR" if MIBR win Map 2 against Legacy.
> 
> This market will resolve to "Legacy" if Legacy win Map 2 against MIBR.
> 
> If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2. 
> 
> If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. 
> 
> If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. 
> 
> The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 40%): Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0x2005…75ea` — 21,303.807 shares
- `0xee21…6f5f` — 19,880.61 shares
- `0xf070…ac55` — 14,203.17 shares
- `0x03f8…d85a` — 13,045.994 shares
- `0xed44…4f76` — 11,411.573 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0xfc25…1f7f` — 27,646.91 shares
- `0x8fbb…9a17` — 20,786.072 shares
- `0x5e6e…be00` — 16,492.773 shares
- `0x8f69…7df1` — 10,116.521 shares
- `0x0997…c9f6` — 7,970 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 12 |
| Window start | 2026-05-22T15:00:08.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-23T01:38:04.000Z |
| Range | 41¢ → 42¢ |
| Net change | +1.0pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=cs2-mibr-lgc-2026-05-23-game2` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner — 42% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-23T13:37:50.181Z from https://orrery.me/markets/cs2-mibr-lgc-2026-05-23-game2.
```

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*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*