# Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs G2 - Map 1 Winner

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 0% implied probability of YES as of Sun, 10 May 2026 07:20:27 GMT. 24h change +0.0pp, 24h volume $245.2K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/cs2-mouz-g2-2026-05-10-game1
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/cs2-mouz-g2-2026-05-10-game1
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 10, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-10T07:20:27.921Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **0¢** (0%) |
| Δ 1h | -31.4pp |
| Δ 24h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $245.2K |
| Lifetime volume | $245.2K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $356.7K |
| Spread | 0.10pp |
| UMA status | `proposed` |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 10, 2026

**Source:** https://hltv.org

**UMA status:** `proposed` — verify before treating moves as new information.

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 2 match between MOUZ and G2 in the PGL Astana Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 10 at 1:00AM ET.
> 
> This market will resolve to "MOUZ" if MOUZ win Map 1 against G2.
> 
> This market will resolve to "G2" if G2 win Map 1 against MOUZ.
> 
> If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 1. 
> 
> If Map 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. 
> 
> If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. 
> 
> The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 65%): Expires in 2h. UMA dispute is active.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0xec98…afcd` — 9,609.64 shares
- `0x2d39…6053` — 9,002.412 shares
- `0x3471…f17e` — 8,115.262 shares
- `0x84ad…bfb7` — 4,019.839 shares
- `0x664a…fc5f` — 3,592.824 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0x2005…75ea` — 12,818.846 shares
- `0x56c9…0d9e` — 10,768.25 shares
- `0x0997…c9f6` — 8,756 shares
- `0x9ad6…4251` — 8,433 shares
- `0x13f0…a50f` — 6,161 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 15 |
| Window start | 2026-05-09T18:00:07.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-10T07:19:19.000Z |
| Range | 0¢ → 49¢ |
| Net change | -46.5pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=cs2-mouz-g2-2026-05-10-game1` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs G2 - Map 1 Winner — 0% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-10T07:20:27.921Z from https://orrery.me/markets/cs2-mouz-g2-2026-05-10-game1.
```

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