# Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 0% implied probability of YES as of Sat, 16 May 2026 12:57:15 GMT. 24h change +0.0pp, 24h volume $257.1K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/cs2-mouz-ts7-2026-05-16-game1
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/cs2-mouz-ts7-2026-05-16-game1
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 16, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-16T12:57:15.760Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **0¢** (0%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 24h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $257.1K |
| Lifetime volume | $257.1K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $312.1K |
| Spread | 0.10pp |
| UMA status | `proposed` |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 16, 2026

**Source:** https://hltv.org

**UMA status:** `proposed` — verify before treating moves as new information.

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market refers to the Counter-Strike Semifinal 1 match between MOUZ and Spirit in the PGL Astana Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 16 at 6:00AM ET.
> 
> This market will resolve to "MOUZ" if MOUZ win Map 1 against Spirit.
> 
> This market will resolve to "Spirit" if Spirit win Map 1 against MOUZ.
> 
> If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 1. 
> 
> If Map 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. 
> 
> If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. 
> 
> The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 65%): Expires in 1h. UMA dispute is active.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0xd6f5…f3b5` — 12,419.639 shares
- `0xac9c…50d8` — 9,831.55 shares
- `0x7a78…add7` — 6,348.289 shares
- `0xfa88…85a5` — 6,194.801 shares
- `0xecee…a577` — 5,809.056 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0x4d51…4946` — 32,000 shares
- `0x64c5…d255` — 26,443.98 shares
- `0x4ad6…464c` — 20,340.36 shares
- `0xd3b0…329e` — 8,500 shares
- `0x3da8…80c3` — 7,088.282 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 24 |
| Window start | 2026-05-15T13:00:14.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-16T12:57:05.000Z |
| Range | 0¢ → 50¢ |
| Net change | -50.0pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=cs2-mouz-ts7-2026-05-16-game1` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner — 0% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-16T12:57:15.760Z from https://orrery.me/markets/cs2-mouz-ts7-2026-05-16-game1.
```

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