# Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FaZe - Map 1 Winner

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 100% implied probability of YES as of Sat, 02 May 2026 21:06:50 GMT. 24h change +0.0pp, 24h volume $477.9K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/cs2-navi-faze-2026-05-02-game1
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/cs2-navi-faze-2026-05-02-game1
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 2, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-02T21:06:50.986Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **100¢** (100%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 24h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $477.9K |
| Lifetime volume | $477.9K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $463.3K |
| Spread | 0.10pp |
| UMA status | `proposed` |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 2, 2026

**Source:** https://hltv.org

**UMA status:** `proposed` — verify before treating moves as new information.

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market refers to the Counter-Strike Semifinal 1 match between Natus Vincere and FaZe in the BLAST Rivals Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 2 at 1:30PM ET.
> 
> This market will resolve to "Natus Vincere" if Natus Vincere win Map 1 against FaZe.
> 
> This market will resolve to "FaZe" if FaZe win Map 1 against Natus Vincere.
> 
> If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 1. 
> 
> If Map 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. 
> 
> If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. 
> 
> The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 65%): Expires in 0h. UMA dispute is active.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0x5632…ebae` — 60,000 shares
- `0x5e6e…be00` — 46,007.723 shares
- `0x67bb…b6ef` — 35,000 shares
- `0x0554…3de4` — 31,700.68 shares
- `0xa16a…33a1` — 30,397.15 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0xa5ea…d96a` — 69,095.918 shares
- `0xb4e7…6a52` — 13,000 shares
- `0xa113…284e` — 12,116.762 shares
- `0xf070…ac55` — 11,110.966 shares
- `0xa1e4…4f8a` — 10,694.444 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 22 |
| Window start | 2026-05-02T01:00:04.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-02T21:05:04.000Z |
| Range | 50¢ → 100¢ |
| Net change | +50.0pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=cs2-navi-faze-2026-05-02-game1` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FaZe - Map 1 Winner — 100% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-02T21:06:50.986Z from https://orrery.me/markets/cs2-navi-faze-2026-05-02-game1.
```

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