# Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs FaZe (+1.5)

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 100% implied probability of YES as of Sat, 02 May 2026 21:08:26 GMT. 24h change +0.0pp, 24h volume $228.7K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/cs2-navi-faze-2026-05-02-map-handicap-away-1pt5
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/cs2-navi-faze-2026-05-02-map-handicap-away-1pt5
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 2, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-02T21:08:26.792Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **100¢** (100%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 24h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $228.7K |
| Lifetime volume | $228.7K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $90.9K |
| Spread | 0.10pp |
| UMA status | `proposed` |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 2, 2026

**Source:** https://hltv.org

**UMA status:** `proposed` — verify before treating moves as new information.

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market refers to the Counter-Strike Semifinal 1 match between Natus Vincere and FaZe in the BLAST Rivals Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 2 at 1:30PM ET.
> 
> This market will resolve to "Natus Vincere" if Natus Vincere wins 2 or more maps than FaZe in this match.
> 
> Otherwise, this market will resolve to "FaZe". 
> 
> Maps won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed.
> 
> If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. 
> 
> If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. 
> 
> If the match ends due to the clinching map being forfeited this will count as a completed match.
> 
> The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 65%): Expires in 2h. UMA dispute is active.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0x67bb…b6ef` — 49,999.982 shares
- `0xd3b0…329e` — 25,000 shares
- `0xdb85…152f` — 21,739.13 shares
- `0xa16a…33a1` — 21,000 shares
- `0xe405…c67e` — 17,999.942 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0xa5ea…d96a` — 82,539.896 shares
- `0x6ac5…4b6e` — 59,457.34 shares
- `0xf070…ac55` — 13,128.45 shares
- `0x66b1…340f` — 3,064.802 shares
- `0x9870…b9d3` — 2,500 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 22 |
| Window start | 2026-05-02T01:00:05.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-02T21:08:04.000Z |
| Range | 45¢ → 100¢ |
| Net change | +50.0pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=cs2-navi-faze-2026-05-02-map-handicap-away-1pt5` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs FaZe (+1.5) — 100% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-02T21:08:26.792Z from https://orrery.me/markets/cs2-navi-faze-2026-05-02-map-handicap-away-1pt5.
```

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