# Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs GamerLegion - Map 2 Winner

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 0% implied probability of YES as of Tue, 12 May 2026 23:59:50 GMT. 24h change +0.0pp, 24h volume $276.5K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/cs2-navi-gl1-2026-05-12-game2
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/cs2-navi-gl1-2026-05-12-game2
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 13, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-12T23:59:50.401Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **0¢** (0%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 24h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $276.5K |
| Lifetime volume | $276.5K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $179.0K |
| Spread | 0.10pp |
| UMA status | `proposed` |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 13, 2026

**Source:** https://hltv.org

**UMA status:** `proposed` — verify before treating moves as new information.

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper bracket semifinal 1 match between Natus Vincere and GamerLegion in the IEM Atlanta Group B, initially scheduled for May 12 at 4:30PM ET.
> 
> This market will resolve to "Natus Vincere" if Natus Vincere win Map 2 against GamerLegion.
> 
> This market will resolve to "GamerLegion" if GamerLegion win Map 2 against Natus Vincere.
> 
> If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2. 
> 
> If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. 
> 
> If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. 
> 
> The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 65%): Expires in 3h. UMA dispute is active.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0x67bb…b6ef` — 31,937.758 shares
- `0xcf60…a6f5` — 20,265.239 shares
- `0x7714…b814` — 20,145.04 shares
- `0xc44f…d49f` — 8,813.09 shares
- `0x3bae…885a` — 6,324.532 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0x5e6e…be00` — 27,049.205 shares
- `0xf68a…5b1b` — 25,291.871 shares
- `0xdf43…ae9a` — 22,971.56 shares
- `0x0e1b…ecaf` — 19,671.443 shares
- `0xba8c…e77d` — 15,000 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 23 |
| Window start | 2026-05-12T02:00:07.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-12T23:59:07.000Z |
| Range | 0¢ → 74¢ |
| Net change | -50.0pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=cs2-navi-gl1-2026-05-12-game2` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs GamerLegion - Map 2 Winner — 0% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-12T23:59:50.401Z from https://orrery.me/markets/cs2-navi-gl1-2026-05-12-game2.
```

---

*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*