# Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 0% implied probability of YES as of Thu, 14 May 2026 02:12:53 GMT. 24h change +0.0pp, 24h volume $271.7K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/cs2-navi-lgc-2026-05-13-game1
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/cs2-navi-lgc-2026-05-13-game1
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 14, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-14T02:12:53.536Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **0¢** (0%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 24h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $271.7K |
| Lifetime volume | $271.7K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $331.8K |
| Spread | 0.10pp |
| UMA status | `proposed` |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 14, 2026

**Source:** https://hltv.org

**UMA status:** `proposed` — verify before treating moves as new information.

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper bracket final match between Natus Vincere and Legacy in the IEM Atlanta Group B, initially scheduled for May 13 at 7:00PM ET.
> 
> This market will resolve to "Natus Vincere" if Natus Vincere win Map 1 against Legacy.
> 
> This market will resolve to "Legacy" if Legacy win Map 1 against Natus Vincere.
> 
> If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 1. 
> 
> If Map 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. 
> 
> If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. 
> 
> The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 65%): Expires in 3h. UMA dispute is active.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0x0e1b…ecaf` — 32,471.211 shares
- `0x823d…189d` — 11,831.44 shares
- `0x8f90…8ed1` — 7,180.279 shares
- `0xb6ce…7a7d` — 5,228.868 shares
- `0xfdc0…4b85` — 4,892.011 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0x3b63…4acd` — 16,800 shares
- `0x4713…4d21` — 15,762.003 shares
- `0x880b…c98b` — 11,169.9 shares
- `0xbc3a…a2ab` — 10,800 shares
- `0xcf60…a6f5` — 5,040.787 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 25 |
| Window start | 2026-05-13T03:00:04.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-14T02:12:07.000Z |
| Range | 0¢ → 62¢ |
| Net change | -50.0pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=cs2-navi-lgc-2026-05-13-game1` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner — 0% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-14T02:12:53.536Z from https://orrery.me/markets/cs2-navi-lgc-2026-05-13-game1.
```

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*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*