# Counter-Strike: NRG vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 0% implied probability of YES as of Mon, 11 May 2026 23:06:58 GMT. 24h change -29.4pp, 24h volume $271.6K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/cs2-nrg-fut-2026-05-11-game1
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/cs2-nrg-fut-2026-05-11-game1
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 12, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-11T23:06:58.055Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **0¢** (0%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 24h | -29.4pp |
| Δ 1w | -30.9pp |
| 24h volume | $271.6K |
| Lifetime volume | $271.7K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $483.8K |
| Spread | 0.10pp |
| UMA status | `proposed` |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 12, 2026

**Source:** https://hltv.org

**UMA status:** `proposed` — verify before treating moves as new information.

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper bracket quarterfinal 4 match between NRG and FUT Esports in the IEM Atlanta Group A, initially scheduled for May 11 at 11:30AM ET.
> 
> This market will resolve to "NRG" if NRG win Map 1 against FUT Esports.
> 
> This market will resolve to "FUT Esports" if FUT Esports win Map 1 against NRG.
> 
> If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 1. 
> 
> If Map 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. 
> 
> If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. 
> 
> The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 65%): Expires in 2h. UMA dispute is active.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0xf070…ac55` — 9,953.211 shares
- `0x3936…366d` — 9,275.294 shares
- `0x3471…f17e` — 8,274.794 shares
- `0xec98…afcd` — 7,928.266 shares
- `0x2d39…6053` — 7,862.158 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0x507e…beae` — 23,385.412 shares
- `0x0e1b…ecaf` — 16,917.99 shares
- `0x56c9…0d9e` — 16,889.57 shares
- `0x6fc4…c89d` — 7,416 shares
- `0x0997…c9f6` — 7,016 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 169 |
| Window start | 2026-05-05T00:00:19.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-11T23:06:05.000Z |
| Range | 0¢ → 87¢ |
| Net change | -30.4pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=cs2-nrg-fut-2026-05-11-game1` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Counter-Strike: NRG vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner — 0% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-11T23:06:58.055Z from https://orrery.me/markets/cs2-nrg-fut-2026-05-11-game1.
```

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