# Counter-Strike: NRG vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 25% implied probability of YES as of Thu, 21 May 2026 04:43:07 GMT. 24h change +0.0pp, 24h volume $6.9K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/cs2-nrg-mouz-2026-05-20-game1
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/cs2-nrg-mouz-2026-05-20-game1
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 21, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-21T04:43:07.916Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **25¢** (25%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 24h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $6.9K |
| Lifetime volume | $6.9K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $10.5K |
| Spread | 3.00pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 21, 2026

**Source:** https://hltv.org

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market refers to the Counter-Strike Lower bracket quarterfinal 2 match between NRG and MOUZ in the CS Asia Championships Group A, initially scheduled for May 20 at 11:00PM ET.
> 
> This market will resolve to "NRG" if NRG win Map 1 against MOUZ.
> 
> This market will resolve to "MOUZ" if MOUZ win Map 1 against NRG.
> 
> If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 1. 
> 
> If Map 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. 
> 
> If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. 
> 
> The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 40%): Expires in 4h.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0x3b4c…e850` — 12,238.67 shares
- `0x2005…75ea` — 9,881.796 shares
- `0xb6ce…7a7d` — 4,252.857 shares
- `0xfe78…0319` — 3,497.008 shares
- `0x82dc…5700` — 3,367.046 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0x8f90…8ed1` — 7,859.602 shares
- `0x33d3…bf38` — 6,368.238 shares
- `0xda1a…3407` — 5,563.4 shares
- `0x3da8…80c3` — 4,931.019 shares
- `0x56c9…0d9e` — 3,932.7 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 10 |
| Window start | 2026-05-20T08:00:07.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-20T16:28:05.000Z |
| Range | 24¢ → 50¢ |
| Net change | -25.5pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=cs2-nrg-mouz-2026-05-20-game1` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Counter-Strike: NRG vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner — 25% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-21T04:43:07.916Z from https://orrery.me/markets/cs2-nrg-mouz-2026-05-20-game1.
```

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