# Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs G2 - Map 2 Winner

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 100% implied probability of YES as of Tue, 12 May 2026 15:28:39 GMT. 24h change +0.0pp, 24h volume $347.0K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/cs2-prv-g2-2026-05-12-game2
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/cs2-prv-g2-2026-05-12-game2
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 12, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-12T15:28:39.922Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **100¢** (100%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 24h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $347.0K |
| Lifetime volume | $347.0K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $499.6K |
| Spread | 0.10pp |
| UMA status | `proposed` |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 12, 2026

**Source:** https://hltv.org

**UMA status:** `proposed` — verify before treating moves as new information.

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 4 match between PARIVISION and G2 in the PGL Astana Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 12 at 7:00AM ET.
> 
> This market will resolve to "PARIVISION" if PARIVISION win Map 2 against G2.
> 
> This market will resolve to "G2" if G2 win Map 2 against PARIVISION.
> 
> If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2. 
> 
> If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. 
> 
> If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. 
> 
> The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 65%): Expires in 2h. UMA dispute is active.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0xb489…de6b` — 47,058.63 shares
- `0x67bb…b6ef` — 40,000 shares
- `0x31b0…8bf3` — 19,949.949 shares
- `0x4337…8882` — 5,554.865 shares
- `0xe872…819a` — 5,159.903 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0xa5ea…d96a` — 88,619.533 shares
- `0xe405…c67e` — 11,217.016 shares
- `0x8cbf…0eb4` — 10,000 shares
- `0xc2de…ef3a` — 6,410.256 shares
- `0x880b…c98b` — 5,429.587 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 22 |
| Window start | 2026-05-11T19:00:14.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-12T15:28:08.000Z |
| Range | 45¢ → 100¢ |
| Net change | +53.4pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=cs2-prv-g2-2026-05-12-game2` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs G2 - Map 2 Winner — 100% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-12T15:28:39.922Z from https://orrery.me/markets/cs2-prv-g2-2026-05-12-game2.
```

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