# Counter-Strike: Sinners vs Astralis - Map 1 Winner

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 0% implied probability of YES as of Wed, 13 May 2026 20:36:57 GMT. 24h change +0.0pp, 24h volume $407.6K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/cs2-sin2-ast10-2026-05-13-game1
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/cs2-sin2-ast10-2026-05-13-game1
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 13, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-13T20:36:57.522Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **0¢** (0%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 24h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $407.6K |
| Lifetime volume | $407.6K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $240.2K |
| Spread | 0.10pp |
| UMA status | `proposed` |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 13, 2026

**Source:** https://hltv.org

**UMA status:** `proposed` — verify before treating moves as new information.

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market refers to the Counter-Strike Lower bracket semifinal 1 match between Sinners and Astralis in the IEM Atlanta Group B, initially scheduled for May 13 at 2:00PM ET.
> 
> This market will resolve to "Sinners" if Sinners win Map 1 against Astralis.
> 
> This market will resolve to "Astralis" if Astralis win Map 1 against Sinners.
> 
> If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 1. 
> 
> If Map 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. 
> 
> If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. 
> 
> The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 65%): Expires in 1h. UMA dispute is active.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0x0e1b…ecaf` — 24,709.439 shares
- `0x8963…c780` — 12,000 shares
- `0x9e29…5777` — 12,000 shares
- `0x3f70…ce77` — 9,000 shares
- `0xcff0…fa1a` — 9,000 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0xa16a…33a1` — 30,000 shares
- `0x14f1…4a46` — 17,000 shares
- `0xcd36…0f01` — 14,111.54 shares
- `0x4ad6…464c` — 12,654.8 shares
- `0x0997…c9f6` — 8,505 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 19 |
| Window start | 2026-05-13T03:00:34.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-13T20:36:06.000Z |
| Range | 0¢ → 50¢ |
| Net change | -50.0pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=cs2-sin2-ast10-2026-05-13-game1` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Counter-Strike: Sinners vs Astralis - Map 1 Winner — 0% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-13T20:36:57.522Z from https://orrery.me/markets/cs2-sin2-ast10-2026-05-13-game1.
```

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