# Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs paiN - Map 2 Winner

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 100% implied probability of YES as of Thu, 21 May 2026 15:31:13 GMT. 24h change +0.0pp, 24h volume $332.4K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/cs2-tyloo-pain-2026-05-21-game2
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/cs2-tyloo-pain-2026-05-21-game2
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 21, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-21T15:31:13.392Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **100¢** (100%) |
| Δ 1h | +80.0pp |
| Δ 24h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $332.4K |
| Lifetime volume | $332.4K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $342.5K |
| Spread | 0.10pp |
| UMA status | `proposed` |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 21, 2026

**Source:** https://hltv.org

**UMA status:** `proposed` — verify before treating moves as new information.

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market refers to the Counter-Strike Lower bracket semifinal 1 match between TYLOO and paiN in the CS Asia Championships Group A, initially scheduled for May 21 at 8:00AM ET.
> 
> This market will resolve to "TYLOO" if TYLOO win Map 2 against paiN.
> 
> This market will resolve to "paiN" if paiN win Map 2 against TYLOO.
> 
> If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2. 
> 
> If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. 
> 
> If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. 
> 
> The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 65%): Expires in 3h. UMA dispute is active.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0x2005…75ea` — 16,783.842 shares
- `0x880b…c98b` — 8,742.4 shares
- `0x6fc4…c89d` — 8,467 shares
- `0x0997…c9f6` — 7,698 shares
- `0xb6ce…7a7d` — 6,765.127 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0x67ac…edf1` — 17,847.14 shares
- `0x03f8…d85a` — 15,964.301 shares
- `0x8cbf…0eb4` — 9,841.192 shares
- `0x98e5…f069` — 6,512.33 shares
- `0x7093…0632` — 5,345.246 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 6 |
| Window start | 2026-05-21T10:00:05.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-21T14:56:04.000Z |
| Range | 40¢ → 100¢ |
| Net change | +56.5pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=cs2-tyloo-pain-2026-05-21-game2` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs paiN - Map 2 Winner — 100% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-21T15:31:13.392Z from https://orrery.me/markets/cs2-tyloo-pain-2026-05-21-game2.
```

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*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*