# Counter-Strike: Vitality vs BC.Game Esports - Map 1 Winner

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 100% implied probability of YES as of Mon, 11 May 2026 21:00:08 GMT. 24h change +12.4pp, 24h volume $309.8K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/cs2-vit-bcg-2026-05-11-game1
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/cs2-vit-bcg-2026-05-11-game1
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 12, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-11T21:00:08.454Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **100¢** (100%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 24h | +12.4pp |
| Δ 1w | +16.4pp |
| 24h volume | $309.8K |
| Lifetime volume | $310.8K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $525.6K |
| Spread | 0.10pp |
| UMA status | `proposed` |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 12, 2026

**Source:** https://hltv.org

**UMA status:** `proposed` — verify before treating moves as new information.

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper bracket quarterfinal 1 match between Vitality and BC.Game Esports in the IEM Atlanta Group A, initially scheduled for May 11 at 11:30AM ET.
> 
> This market will resolve to "Vitality" if Vitality win Map 1 against BC.Game Esports.
> 
> This market will resolve to "BC.Game Esports" if BC.Game Esports win Map 1 against Vitality.
> 
> If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 1. 
> 
> If Map 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. 
> 
> If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. 
> 
> The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 65%): Expires in 3h. UMA dispute is active.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0x66d5…9e9f` — 48,283.62 shares
- `0x56c9…0d9e` — 23,380.724 shares
- `0x4ad6…464c` — 20,000 shares
- `0x0e1b…ecaf` — 9,235.384 shares
- `0x4569…e624` — 8,600 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0x880b…c98b` — 23,083.715 shares
- `0x5bbe…c65d` — 18,368.796 shares
- `0x6427…359c` — 10,000 shares
- `0x93f6…4814` — 9,122.96 shares
- `0xf070…ac55` — 8,887.966 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 169 |
| Window start | 2026-05-04T21:00:07.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-11T20:59:05.000Z |
| Range | 84¢ → 100¢ |
| Net change | +16.5pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=cs2-vit-bcg-2026-05-11-game1` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Counter-Strike: Vitality vs BC.Game Esports - Map 1 Winner — 100% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-11T21:00:08.454Z from https://orrery.me/markets/cs2-vit-bcg-2026-05-11-game1.
```

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*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*