# Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winner

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 0% implied probability of YES as of Wed, 13 May 2026 21:29:28 GMT. 24h change -52.4pp, 24h volume $254.1K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/dota2-aur1-flc-2026-05-13-game2
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/dota2-aur1-flc-2026-05-13-game2
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 13, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-13T21:29:28.578Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **0¢** (0%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 24h | -52.4pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $254.1K |
| Lifetime volume | $254.1K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $46.4K |
| Spread | 0.10pp |
| UMA status | `proposed` |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 13, 2026

**Source:** https://www.dotabuff.com

**UMA status:** `proposed` — verify before treating moves as new information.

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market refers to the Dota 2 match between Aurora and Team Falcons in the DreamLeague Group A, initially scheduled for May 13 at 1:00PM ET.
> 
> This market will resolve to "Aurora" if Aurora win Game 2 against Team Falcons.
> 
> This market will resolve to "Team Falcons" if Team Falcons win Game 2 against Aurora.
> 
> If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. 
> 
> If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. 
> 
> If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. 
> 
> The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 65%): Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0x507e…beae` — 27,464.995 shares
- `0x0e1b…ecaf` — 12,009.277 shares
- `0x87da…53d1` — 10,611.74 shares
- `0x3af1…d739` — 8,887.98 shares
- `0x05a7…42e6` — 6,733.914 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0xe16d…5e30` — 30,946.997 shares
- `0x33ab…9523` — 14,769.82 shares
- `0x6049…f14f` — 13,679.28 shares
- `0xf3ce…a57a` — 6,933.393 shares
- `0x4569…e624` — 5,200 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 47 |
| Window start | 2026-05-12T00:00:13.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-13T21:29:19.000Z |
| Range | 0¢ → 55¢ |
| Net change | -50.0pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=dota2-aur1-flc-2026-05-13-game2` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winner — 0% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-13T21:29:28.578Z from https://orrery.me/markets/dota2-aur1-flc-2026-05-13-game2.
```

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*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*