# Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PlayTime - Game 1 Winner

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 32% implied probability of YES as of Sat, 23 May 2026 12:23:20 GMT. 24h change +0.0pp, 24h volume $340.2K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/dota2-flc-playti-2026-05-23-game1
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/dota2-flc-playti-2026-05-23-game1
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 23, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-23T12:23:20.097Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **32¢** (32%) |
| Δ 1h | -38.5pp |
| Δ 24h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $340.2K |
| Lifetime volume | $340.2K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $19.8K |
| Spread | 3.00pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 23, 2026

**Source:** https://www.dotabuff.com

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market refers to the Dota 2 Lower Bracket Quarterfinals 2 match between Team Falcons and PlayTime in the DreamLeague Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 23 at 6:00AM ET.
> 
> This market will resolve to "Team Falcons" if Team Falcons win Game 1 against PlayTime.
> 
> This market will resolve to "PlayTime" if PlayTime win Game 1 against Team Falcons.
> 
> If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. 
> 
> If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. 
> 
> If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. 
> 
> The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 40%): Expires in 2h.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0xfa58…31d6` — 73,105.59 shares
- `0x2339…adc2` — 12,556.11 shares
- `0x9eca…5a59` — 12,218.867 shares
- `0xd3b0…329e` — 10,500 shares
- `0x31a4…7afc` — 10,258.274 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0xe16d…5e30` — 46,557.942 shares
- `0xf070…ac55` — 22,221.992 shares
- `0x2146…d41b` — 19,276.992 shares
- `0xc04e…75d9` — 13,587.009 shares
- `0xef62…cf76` — 8,440.949 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 17 |
| Window start | 2026-05-22T21:00:12.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-23T12:23:05.000Z |
| Range | 31¢ → 100¢ |
| Net change | +29.0pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=dota2-flc-playti-2026-05-23-game1` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PlayTime - Game 1 Winner — 32% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-23T12:23:20.097Z from https://orrery.me/markets/dota2-flc-playti-2026-05-23-game1.
```

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*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*