# Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PlayTime - Game 2 Winner

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 100% implied probability of YES as of Sat, 23 May 2026 14:24:56 GMT. 24h change +0.0pp, 24h volume $631.1K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/dota2-flc-playti-2026-05-23-game2
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/dota2-flc-playti-2026-05-23-game2
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 23, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-23T14:24:56.636Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **100¢** (100%) |
| Δ 1h | +43.5pp |
| Δ 24h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $631.1K |
| Lifetime volume | $631.1K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $71.7K |
| Spread | 0.10pp |
| UMA status | `proposed` |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 23, 2026

**Source:** https://www.dotabuff.com

**UMA status:** `proposed` — verify before treating moves as new information.

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market refers to the Dota 2 Lower Bracket Quarterfinals 2 match between Team Falcons and PlayTime in the DreamLeague Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 23 at 6:00AM ET.
> 
> This market will resolve to "Team Falcons" if Team Falcons win Game 2 against PlayTime.
> 
> This market will resolve to "PlayTime" if PlayTime win Game 2 against Team Falcons.
> 
> If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. 
> 
> If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. 
> 
> If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. 
> 
> The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 65%): Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0xba8c…e77d` — 42,000 shares
- `0x3af1…d739` — 26,002.823 shares
- `0xb234…1c20` — 21,387.202 shares
- `0xc0f5…3d04` — 18,596.577 shares
- `0xec98…afcd` — 11,997.256 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0xe16d…5e30` — 84,094.113 shares
- `0xf070…ac55` — 27,197.89 shares
- `0x87da…53d1` — 9,618.654 shares
- `0xf3ce…a57a` — 9,088.333 shares
- `0xee21…6f5f` — 6,781.455 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 15 |
| Window start | 2026-05-22T21:00:05.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-23T10:59:03.000Z |
| Range | 68¢ → 72¢ |
| Net change | -4.5pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=dota2-flc-playti-2026-05-23-game2` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PlayTime - Game 2 Winner — 100% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-23T14:24:56.636Z from https://orrery.me/markets/dota2-flc-playti-2026-05-23-game2.
```

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*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*