# Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winner

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 80% implied probability of YES as of Wed, 20 May 2026 20:49:14 GMT. 24h change +13.0pp, 24h volume $388.1K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/dota2-liquid-xtreme-2026-05-20-game2
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/dota2-liquid-xtreme-2026-05-20-game2
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 21, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-20T20:49:14.764Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **80¢** (80%) |
| Δ 1h | +15.5pp |
| Δ 24h | +13.0pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $388.1K |
| Lifetime volume | $388.1K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $54.0K |
| Spread | 2.00pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 21, 2026

**Source:** https://www.dotabuff.com

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market refers to the Dota 2 Lower Bracket Round 1 match between Team Liquid and Xtreme Gaming in the DreamLeague Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 20 at 1:00PM ET.
> 
> This market will resolve to "Team Liquid" if Team Liquid win Game 2 against Xtreme Gaming.
> 
> This market will resolve to "Xtreme Gaming" if Xtreme Gaming win Game 2 against Team Liquid.
> 
> If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. 
> 
> If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. 
> 
> If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. 
> 
> The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **momentum** (confidence 95%): Probability moved up 13.0pp in 24h with 7.2× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.
- **resolution_risk** (confidence 40%): Expires in 3h.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0x2eaa…7d1a` — 43,925.18 shares
- `0x67bb…b6ef` — 29,999.99 shares
- `0x86e9…4cdf` — 27,955.019 shares
- `0xd3b0…329e` — 26,249.923 shares
- `0xf3ce…a57a` — 16,150.205 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0xe16d…5e30` — 66,377.124 shares
- `0xd06c…cdaf` — 19,477.754 shares
- `0x507e…beae` — 10,655.439 shares
- `0x1ec6…2c80` — 10,462 shares
- `0xd9ee…a621` — 8,352.51 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 28 |
| Window start | 2026-05-19T18:00:07.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-20T20:01:05.000Z |
| Range | 50¢ → 100¢ |
| Net change | +49.5pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=dota2-liquid-xtreme-2026-05-20-game2` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winner — 80% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-20T20:49:14.764Z from https://orrery.me/markets/dota2-liquid-xtreme-2026-05-20-game2.
```

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*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*