# Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 Winner

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 100% implied probability of YES as of Wed, 13 May 2026 17:04:16 GMT. 24h change +46.5pp, 24h volume $258.0K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/dota2-navi-ngx-2026-05-13-game2
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/dota2-navi-ngx-2026-05-13-game2
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 13, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-13T17:04:16.438Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **100¢** (100%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 24h | +46.5pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $258.0K |
| Lifetime volume | $258.0K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $102.6K |
| Spread | 0.10pp |
| UMA status | `proposed` |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 13, 2026

**Source:** https://www.dotabuff.com

**UMA status:** `proposed` — verify before treating moves as new information.

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market refers to the Dota 2 match between Natus Vincere and Nigma Galaxy in the DreamLeague Group B, initially scheduled for May 13 at 9:30AM ET.
> 
> This market will resolve to "Natus Vincere" if Natus Vincere win Game 2 against Nigma Galaxy.
> 
> This market will resolve to "Nigma Galaxy" if Nigma Galaxy win Game 2 against Natus Vincere.
> 
> If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. 
> 
> If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. 
> 
> If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. 
> 
> The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 65%): Expires in 3h. UMA dispute is active.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0xe16d…5e30` — 32,478.068 shares
- `0xe557…9597` — 23,028.69 shares
- `0x4569…e624` — 13,119 shares
- `0xa16a…33a1` — 8,994.17 shares
- `0xc0f5…3d04` — 7,414.44 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0x507e…beae` — 16,916.946 shares
- `0x2146…d41b` — 15,344.863 shares
- `0xd06c…cdaf` — 14,007.132 shares
- `0x0e1b…ecaf` — 8,405.569 shares
- `0xbff7…92fb` — 5,165.973 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 43 |
| Window start | 2026-05-12T00:00:18.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-13T17:04:10.000Z |
| Range | 50¢ → 100¢ |
| Net change | +50.0pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=dota2-navi-ngx-2026-05-13-game2` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 Winner — 100% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-13T17:04:16.438Z from https://orrery.me/markets/dota2-navi-ngx-2026-05-13-game2.
```

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*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*