# Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 0% implied probability of YES as of Sun, 24 May 2026 18:41:16 GMT. 24h change +0.0pp, 24h volume $996.6K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/dota2-pari-aur1-2026-05-24-game2
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/dota2-pari-aur1-2026-05-24-game2
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 24, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-24T18:41:16.477Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **0¢** (0%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 24h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $996.6K |
| Lifetime volume | $996.6K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $407.5K |
| Spread | 0.10pp |
| UMA status | `proposed` |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 24, 2026

**Source:** https://www.dotabuff.com

**UMA status:** `proposed` — verify before treating moves as new information.

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market refers to the Dota 2 Grand final match between PARIVISION and Aurora in the DreamLeague Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 24 at 10:00AM ET.
> 
> This market will resolve to "PARIVISION" if PARIVISION win Game 2 against Aurora.
> 
> This market will resolve to "Aurora" if Aurora win Game 2 against PARIVISION.
> 
> If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. 
> 
> If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. 
> 
> If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. 
> 
> The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 65%): Expires in 1h. UMA dispute is active.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0xa5ea…d96a` — 325,779.666 shares
- `0xe16d…5e30` — 77,381.291 shares
- `0x9eca…5a59` — 24,949.139 shares
- `0xc0f5…3d04` — 24,864.578 shares
- `0xf3ce…a57a` — 13,764.328 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0x37e4…c991` — 99,999.953 shares
- `0x6049…f14f` — 57,370.5 shares
- `0xe557…9597` — 57,000 shares
- `0x3af1…d739` — 37,520.953 shares
- `0xd3b0…329e` — 37,250 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 4 |
| Window start | 2026-05-24T14:00:04.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-24T16:58:04.000Z |
| Range | 0¢ → 57¢ |
| Net change | -57.5pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=dota2-pari-aur1-2026-05-24-game2` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner — 0% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-24T18:41:16.477Z from https://orrery.me/markets/dota2-pari-aur1-2026-05-24-game2.
```

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*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*