# Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 Winner

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 0% implied probability of YES as of Wed, 13 May 2026 17:05:48 GMT. 24h change -55.5pp, 24h volume $356.9K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/dota2-pari-tundra-2026-05-13-game2
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/dota2-pari-tundra-2026-05-13-game2
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 13, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-13T17:05:48.859Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **0¢** (0%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 24h | -55.5pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $356.9K |
| Lifetime volume | $356.9K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $219.9K |
| Spread | 0.10pp |
| UMA status | `proposed` |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 13, 2026

**Source:** https://www.dotabuff.com

**UMA status:** `proposed` — verify before treating moves as new information.

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market refers to the Dota 2 match between PARIVISION and Tundra Esports in the DreamLeague Group B, initially scheduled for May 13 at 9:30AM ET.
> 
> This market will resolve to "PARIVISION" if PARIVISION win Game 2 against Tundra Esports.
> 
> This market will resolve to "Tundra Esports" if Tundra Esports win Game 2 against PARIVISION.
> 
> If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. 
> 
> If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. 
> 
> If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. 
> 
> The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 65%): Expires in 3h. UMA dispute is active.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0xa5ea…d96a` — 82,983.41 shares
- `0xe16d…5e30` — 58,084.033 shares
- `0x3a09…f9f7` — 19,340.981 shares
- `0xd161…4cc1` — 11,329.75 shares
- `0xafd4…7e61` — 7,631.669 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0x37e4…c991` — 59,999.987 shares
- `0xba38…e406` — 53,425.01 shares
- `0x5922…3388` — 40,000 shares
- `0x2307…3934` — 13,781.528 shares
- `0x7600…4478` — 11,999.897 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 43 |
| Window start | 2026-05-12T00:00:04.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-13T17:05:07.000Z |
| Range | 0¢ → 57¢ |
| Net change | -50.0pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=dota2-pari-tundra-2026-05-13-game2` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 Winner — 0% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-13T17:05:48.859Z from https://orrery.me/markets/dota2-pari-tundra-2026-05-13-game2.
```

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*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*