# Dota 2: PlayTime vs REKONIX - Game 1 Winner

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 100% implied probability of YES as of Thu, 14 May 2026 20:33:29 GMT. 24h change +34.9pp, 24h volume $283.6K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/dota2-playti-rnx-2026-05-14-game1
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/dota2-playti-rnx-2026-05-14-game1
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 14, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-14T20:33:29.060Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **100¢** (100%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 24h | +34.9pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $283.6K |
| Lifetime volume | $283.6K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $518.7K |
| Spread | 0.10pp |
| UMA status | `proposed` |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 14, 2026

**Source:** https://www.dotabuff.com

**UMA status:** `proposed` — verify before treating moves as new information.

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market refers to the Dota 2 match between PlayTime and REKONIX in the DreamLeague Group B, initially scheduled for May 14 at 1:00PM ET.
> 
> This market will resolve to "PlayTime" if PlayTime win Game 1 against REKONIX.
> 
> This market will resolve to "REKONIX" if REKONIX win Game 1 against PlayTime.
> 
> If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. 
> 
> If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. 
> 
> If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. 
> 
> The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 65%): Expires in 0h. UMA dispute is active.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0xe16d…5e30` — 22,524.427 shares
- `0x3b4c…e850` — 19,857.89 shares
- `0x0e1b…ecaf` — 8,480.366 shares
- `0xd06c…cdaf` — 8,154.686 shares
- `0x2339…adc2` — 6,463.78 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0x1c8f…4d12` — 15,058.798 shares
- `0x507e…beae` — 6,927.84 shares
- `0x6c66…c204` — 5,947.274 shares
- `0x3833…33d1` — 4,515.87 shares
- `0x2d39…6053` — 4,279.078 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 55 |
| Window start | 2026-05-12T15:00:11.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-14T20:33:06.000Z |
| Range | 40¢ → 100¢ |
| Net change | +50.0pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=dota2-playti-rnx-2026-05-14-game1` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Dota 2: PlayTime vs REKONIX - Game 1 Winner — 100% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-14T20:33:29.060Z from https://orrery.me/markets/dota2-playti-rnx-2026-05-14-game1.
```

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*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*