# Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 53% implied probability of YES as of Sun, 24 May 2026 15:43:49 GMT. 24h change +0.0pp, 24h volume $755.00.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/dota2-ts8-aur1-2026-05-24-game2
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/dota2-ts8-aur1-2026-05-24-game2
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 24, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-24T15:43:49.285Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **53¢** (53%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 24h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $755.00 |
| Lifetime volume | $755.00 |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $7.6K |
| Spread | 2.00pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 24, 2026

**Source:** https://www.dotabuff.com

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market refers to the Dota 2 Lower Bracket Final match between Team Spirit and Aurora in the DreamLeague Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 24 at 7:00AM ET.
> 
> This market will resolve to "Team Spirit" if Team Spirit win Game 2 against Aurora.
> 
> This market will resolve to "Aurora" if Aurora win Game 2 against Team Spirit.
> 
> If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. 
> 
> If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. 
> 
> If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. 
> 
> The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 40%): Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0xe16d…5e30` — 111,642.727 shares
- `0x87da…53d1` — 16,423.463 shares
- `0xc0f5…3d04` — 12,015.705 shares
- `0x2146…d41b` — 10,977.32 shares
- `0xb234…1c20` — 10,194.099 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0x3af1…d739` — 96,604.975 shares
- `0x7ecc…6c37` — 48,819.3 shares
- `0xa16a…33a1` — 38,888 shares
- `0xffe9…a70e` — 30,663.828 shares
- `0xd3b0…329e` — 25,749.983 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 9 |
| Window start | 2026-05-23T21:00:04.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-24T04:58:04.000Z |
| Range | 53¢ → 55¢ |
| Net change | -1.5pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=dota2-ts8-aur1-2026-05-24-game2` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner — 53% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-24T15:43:49.285Z from https://orrery.me/markets/dota2-ts8-aur1-2026-05-24-game2.
```

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*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*