# Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Virtus.pro - Game 1 Winner

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 0% implied probability of YES as of Thu, 14 May 2026 17:14:51 GMT. 24h change -54.9pp, 24h volume $461.0K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/dota2-vg-vp-2026-05-14-game1
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/dota2-vg-vp-2026-05-14-game1
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 14, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-14T17:14:51.749Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **0¢** (0%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 24h | -54.9pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $461.0K |
| Lifetime volume | $461.0K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $420.1K |
| Spread | 0.10pp |
| UMA status | `proposed` |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 14, 2026

**Source:** https://www.dotabuff.com

**UMA status:** `proposed` — verify before treating moves as new information.

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market refers to the Dota 2 match between Vici Gaming and Virtus.pro in the DreamLeague Group A, initially scheduled for May 14 at 9:30AM ET.
> 
> This market will resolve to "Vici Gaming" if Vici Gaming win Game 1 against Virtus.pro.
> 
> This market will resolve to "Virtus.pro" if Virtus.pro win Game 1 against Vici Gaming.
> 
> If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. 
> 
> If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. 
> 
> If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. 
> 
> The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 65%): Expires in 3h. UMA dispute is active.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0xe16d…5e30` — 59,477.423 shares
- `0x3a09…f9f7` — 24,899.955 shares
- `0xf68a…5b1b` — 20,992.97 shares
- `0x7714…b814` — 15,000 shares
- `0x832d…64ac` — 10,000 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0xf61f…3938` — 47,556.87 shares
- `0x2eaa…7d1a` — 45,000 shares
- `0x8ce9…b0e7` — 35,000 shares
- `0x5e04…08a2` — 22,943.72 shares
- `0x9d94…017d` — 11,344.691 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 52 |
| Window start | 2026-05-12T15:00:09.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-14T17:14:05.000Z |
| Range | 0¢ → 72¢ |
| Net change | -50.0pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=dota2-vg-vp-2026-05-14-game1` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Virtus.pro - Game 1 Winner — 0% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-14T17:14:51.749Z from https://orrery.me/markets/dota2-vg-vp-2026-05-14-game1.
```

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*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*