# Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs PlayTime - Game 1 Winner

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 100% implied probability of YES as of Wed, 13 May 2026 18:12:30 GMT. 24h change +49.5pp, 24h volume $241.1K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/dota2-xtreme-playti-2026-05-13-game1
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/dota2-xtreme-playti-2026-05-13-game1
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 13, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-13T18:12:30.629Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **100¢** (100%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 24h | +49.5pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $241.1K |
| Lifetime volume | $241.1K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $68.4K |
| Spread | 0.10pp |
| UMA status | `proposed` |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 13, 2026

**Source:** https://www.dotabuff.com

**UMA status:** `proposed` — verify before treating moves as new information.

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market refers to the Dota 2 match between Xtreme Gaming and PlayTime in the DreamLeague Group B, initially scheduled for May 13 at 9:30AM ET.
> 
> This market will resolve to "Xtreme Gaming" if Xtreme Gaming win Game 1 against PlayTime.
> 
> This market will resolve to "PlayTime" if PlayTime win Game 1 against Xtreme Gaming.
> 
> If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. 
> 
> If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. 
> 
> If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. 
> 
> The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 65%): Expires in 3h. UMA dispute is active.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0x64c5…d255` — 26,146 shares
- `0xcd36…0f01` — 20,993.79 shares
- `0xfe9c…4cb4` — 11,942.26 shares
- `0xfa88…85a5` — 8,170.877 shares
- `0xc44f…d49f` — 7,961.989 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0xe16d…5e30` — 16,522.787 shares
- `0x0e1b…ecaf` — 12,552.47 shares
- `0x9770…0ff5` — 10,734.869 shares
- `0xc75a…1ab2` — 9,004.705 shares
- `0x9eca…5a59` — 8,714.57 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 44 |
| Window start | 2026-05-12T00:00:16.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-13T18:11:05.000Z |
| Range | 48¢ → 100¢ |
| Net change | +50.0pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=dota2-xtreme-playti-2026-05-13-game1` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs PlayTime - Game 1 Winner — 100% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-13T18:12:30.629Z from https://orrery.me/markets/dota2-xtreme-playti-2026-05-13-game1.
```

---

*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*