# Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 0% implied probability of YES as of Fri, 15 May 2026 22:54:16 GMT. 24h change -2.6pp, 24h volume $190.4K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/elon-musk-of-tweets-may-12-may-19-100-119
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-of-tweets-may-12-may-19-100-119
**Category:** Tech
**Resolves by:** May 19, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-15T22:54:16.210Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **0¢** (0%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 24h | -2.6pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $190.4K |
| Lifetime volume | $436.3K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $90.7K |
| Spread | 0.10pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 19, 2026

**Source:** https://x.com/elonmusk

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 12 12:00 PM ET to May 19, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
> 
> For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
> 
> Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
> 
> Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
> 
> Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
> 
> The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0x2061…8ec9` — 46,991.306 shares
- `0x02b4…7092` — 30,000 shares
- `0x813e…5d51` — 19,999.969 shares
- `0xa49b…7054` — 10,227.677 shares
- `0x5a77…f859` — 10,002.131 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0xa5ef…2966` — 210,130.421 shares
- `0x7a3d…804e` — 20,761.933 shares
- `0xf257…7085` — 6,480 shares
- `0x03fa…28f2` — 6,076.094 shares
- `0xe855…a4ad` — 4,581.455 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 158 |
| Window start | 2026-05-09T09:00:06.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-15T22:54:04.000Z |
| Range | 0¢ → 23¢ |
| Net change | -3.9pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=elon-musk-of-tweets-may-12-may-19-100-119` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026? — 0% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-15T22:54:16.210Z from https://orrery.me/markets/elon-musk-of-tweets-may-12-may-19-100-119.
```

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*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*