# Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 0% implied probability of YES as of Wed, 13 May 2026 09:55:25 GMT. 24h change -2.1pp, 24h volume $220.2K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/elon-musk-of-tweets-may-12-may-19-20-39
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-of-tweets-may-12-may-19-20-39
**Category:** Tech
**Resolves by:** May 19, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-13T09:55:25.072Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **0¢** (0%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 24h | -2.1pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $220.2K |
| Lifetime volume | $412.0K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $27.9K |
| Spread | 0.10pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 19, 2026

**Source:** https://x.com/elonmusk

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 12 12:00 PM ET to May 19, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
> 
> For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
> 
> Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
> 
> Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
> 
> Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
> 
> The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0x2061…8ec9` — 132,343.728 shares
- `0x77c8…bc8c` — 53,903.61 shares
- `0x02b4…7092` — 30,000.013 shares
- `0x7413…4b09` — 16,609 shares
- `0x1740…d7c0` — 11,000 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0xa5ef…2966` — 157,047.129 shares
- `0x7a3d…804e` — 20,429.45 shares
- `0x25a7…a4c8` — 17,500 shares
- `0x43f0…1b3d` — 15,178.93 shares
- `0x77cf…a179` — 10,296.79 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 98 |
| Window start | 2026-05-09T09:00:05.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-13T09:54:07.000Z |
| Range | 0¢ → 3¢ |
| Net change | -0.4pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=elon-musk-of-tweets-may-12-may-19-20-39` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026? — 0% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-13T09:55:25.072Z from https://orrery.me/markets/elon-musk-of-tweets-may-12-may-19-20-39.
```

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