# Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 0% implied probability of YES as of Wed, 20 May 2026 20:52:28 GMT. 24h change -0.6pp, 24h volume $84.1K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/elon-musk-of-tweets-may-15-may-22-360-379
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-of-tweets-may-15-may-22-360-379
**Category:** Tech
**Resolves by:** May 22, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-20T20:52:28.091Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **0¢** (0%) |
| Δ 1h | -0.2pp |
| Δ 24h | -0.6pp |
| Δ 1w | -0.5pp |
| 24h volume | $84.1K |
| Lifetime volume | $252.0K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $31.2K |
| Spread | 0.10pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 22, 2026

**Source:** https://x.com/elonmusk

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 15 12:00 PM ET to May 22, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
> 
> For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
> 
> Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
> 
> Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
> 
> Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
> 
> The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 40%): Expires in 43h.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0xd8c4…848d` — 50,509.539 shares
- `0x689a…779e` — 22,323.16 shares
- `0x7c2c…407e` — 17,070.678 shares
- `0x3690…e16f` — 11,753.073 shares
- `0x2cf3…ae6f` — 10,000 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0xa5ef…2966` — 270,866.76 shares
- `0x2392…b1e6` — 4,004.004 shares
- `0x723b…7bbe` — 1,400 shares
- `0x0407…bcfd` — 1,024 shares
- `0xa0e4…3acc` — 944.956 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 166 |
| Window start | 2026-05-13T21:00:12.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-20T20:52:05.000Z |
| Range | 0¢ → 6¢ |
| Net change | -0.3pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=elon-musk-of-tweets-may-15-may-22-360-379` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026? — 0% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-20T20:52:28.091Z from https://orrery.me/markets/elon-musk-of-tweets-may-15-may-22-360-379.
```

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*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*