# Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 0% implied probability of YES as of Sun, 17 May 2026 07:00:18 GMT. 24h change -1.4pp, 24h volume $139.2K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/elon-musk-of-tweets-may-15-may-22-80-99
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-of-tweets-may-15-may-22-80-99
**Category:** Tech
**Resolves by:** May 22, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-17T07:00:18.442Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **0¢** (0%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 24h | -1.4pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $139.2K |
| Lifetime volume | $235.0K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $56.3K |
| Spread | 0.10pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 22, 2026

**Source:** https://x.com/elonmusk

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 15 12:00 PM ET to May 22, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
> 
> For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
> 
> Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
> 
> Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
> 
> Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
> 
> The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0x02b4…7092` — 30,000 shares
- `0x6be9…3493` — 20,384.988 shares
- `0x813e…5d51` — 20,000 shares
- `0xb796…58a8` — 10,000 shares
- `0xe154…0b7f` — 9,915.27 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0xa5ef…2966` — 160,066.683 shares
- `0xa606…8273` — 2,055.77 shares
- `0xf993…cd9d` — 1,700 shares
- `0x9acd…a3fe` — 630.46 shares
- `0x7789…a280` — 368.966 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 122 |
| Window start | 2026-05-12T05:00:08.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-17T06:59:20.000Z |
| Range | 0¢ → 14¢ |
| Net change | -6.9pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=elon-musk-of-tweets-may-15-may-22-80-99` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026? — 0% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-17T07:00:18.442Z from https://orrery.me/markets/elon-musk-of-tweets-may-15-may-22-80-99.
```

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